Post by jo on Mar 3, 2017 15:53:37 GMT -5
Thursday preview box office results...and updated projections for Opening Weekend --
deadline.com/2017/03/logan-box-office-opening-get-out-the-shack-1202035207/
deadline.com/2017/03/logan-box-office-opening-get-out-the-shack-1202035207/
‘Logan’ Roaring To $70M-$72M Opening Weekend – Midday Box Office Update
by Anthony D'Alessandro
March 3, 2017 12:15pm
2ND Update, Midday: Based off a strong Thursday night of $9.5M coupled with matinees, 20th Century Fox/Marvel’s Logan is dashing to an estimated $28M Friday and a $70M-72M weekend opening at 4,071 theaters with all the mutant powers of 381 Imax screens and 580 premium large format auditoriums. At 4,071, Logan is the widest release for an R-rated film and ditto for Imax’s count. Among Wolverine openings, right now Logan ranks second behind 2009’s X-Men Origins: Wolverine which posted $85M. Logan cost just under $100M before P&A. Fox knew they had something special with Logan and showed off the first 30 minutes at a product reel back in December, and also showed off the movie to the L.A. press 16 days before today’s opening. By the way, there’s always a set of outlying aggressive projections that land on our desk. Translation: It wouldn’t be a shocker to see Logan break $77M.
Universal/Blumhouse’s Get Out is slotting second with an estimated $6M Friday, and second weekend of $18M, -46%, which is still phenomenal for a horror film as they typically see drops of -60% or steeper. Running total by Sunday will be $67.8M.
Lionsgate/Summit’s The Shack is looking very strong for a faith-based movie drawing $5M today, and $15M for the weekend at 2,888 theaters. That’s a higher debut than last year’s Lenten releases Risen ($11.8M opening) and Miracles From Heaven ($14.8M FSS).
Open Road’s Before I Fall, which premiered at the Sundance Film Festival, is currently estimated to post $1M for Friday and $3M for the weekend at 2,346. The movie carries a $5M production cost before P&A.
Among Oscar fare, best picture winner Moonlight from A24 is grossing $800K from over 1,500 venues for an estimated $2.75M 20th weekend. Total running cume for the Barry Jenkins-directed movie should be under $26M by Sunday. Lionsgate/Summit’s La La Land at 1,411 will be in that range, looking at $850K today and a $3M 13th weekend. Running cume by Sunday for the Damien Chazelle six-time Oscar winner is $145.7M.
All of these estimates are according to rival calculations and can swing up or down during the weekend.
1ST UPDATE, 7:21AM: 20th Century Fox’s Logan roared last night with a $9.5M take, the third highest for an R-rated preview after record holder Deadpool ($12.7M) and The Hangover Part II ($10.4M from midnight shows).
Heading into this weekend, Fox was tracking Logan to a $65M opening, however, rivals had it higher between $70M-$75M. There’s also a group of aggressive trackers out there who firmly believe Logan is destined to make $80M-plus. That’s not a crazy projection based on Wolverine’s money last night, coupled with the fact that the James Mangold-directed movie counts a 93% certified fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes — the best badge a superhero movie can have in this day and age, guaranteeing long legs. By the way, it’s also the best RT rating for a Wolverine movie, which has seen its critical grades improve from the first 2009 movie (38% rotten) to the 2013 sequel (69% fresh). Could Logan post the biggest opening in the Wolverine trilogy, beating the first installment’s $85M opening? It’s not unreasonable.
Logan‘s Thursday inches out the $9.4M preview cash earned by Disney/Marvel’s Doctor Strange back in November. That Marvel movie, rated PG-13, continued on to make a $32.6M Friday and an $85M weekend opening. Close to 29% of Doctor Strange‘s preview money counted toward its first day tally.
In addition, Logan knocks out the $8.2M made by X-Men: Apocalypse on its Thursday night. That comic-book movie played over Memorial Day weekend, earning a $26.3M Friday, and $65.7M three-day. Fandango reported this week that Logan pre-sales were outstripping all previous X-Men titles not counting Deadpool.
Last year X-Men spinoff Deadpool, also from Fox/Marvel drew $47.3M on its first day with Thursday night repping close to 27% of that figure. However, that pic’s $132.4M record R-rated opening had the testosterone of Valentine’s Day and Presidents Day behind it...
by Anthony D'Alessandro
March 3, 2017 12:15pm
2ND Update, Midday: Based off a strong Thursday night of $9.5M coupled with matinees, 20th Century Fox/Marvel’s Logan is dashing to an estimated $28M Friday and a $70M-72M weekend opening at 4,071 theaters with all the mutant powers of 381 Imax screens and 580 premium large format auditoriums. At 4,071, Logan is the widest release for an R-rated film and ditto for Imax’s count. Among Wolverine openings, right now Logan ranks second behind 2009’s X-Men Origins: Wolverine which posted $85M. Logan cost just under $100M before P&A. Fox knew they had something special with Logan and showed off the first 30 minutes at a product reel back in December, and also showed off the movie to the L.A. press 16 days before today’s opening. By the way, there’s always a set of outlying aggressive projections that land on our desk. Translation: It wouldn’t be a shocker to see Logan break $77M.
Universal/Blumhouse’s Get Out is slotting second with an estimated $6M Friday, and second weekend of $18M, -46%, which is still phenomenal for a horror film as they typically see drops of -60% or steeper. Running total by Sunday will be $67.8M.
Lionsgate/Summit’s The Shack is looking very strong for a faith-based movie drawing $5M today, and $15M for the weekend at 2,888 theaters. That’s a higher debut than last year’s Lenten releases Risen ($11.8M opening) and Miracles From Heaven ($14.8M FSS).
Open Road’s Before I Fall, which premiered at the Sundance Film Festival, is currently estimated to post $1M for Friday and $3M for the weekend at 2,346. The movie carries a $5M production cost before P&A.
Among Oscar fare, best picture winner Moonlight from A24 is grossing $800K from over 1,500 venues for an estimated $2.75M 20th weekend. Total running cume for the Barry Jenkins-directed movie should be under $26M by Sunday. Lionsgate/Summit’s La La Land at 1,411 will be in that range, looking at $850K today and a $3M 13th weekend. Running cume by Sunday for the Damien Chazelle six-time Oscar winner is $145.7M.
All of these estimates are according to rival calculations and can swing up or down during the weekend.
1ST UPDATE, 7:21AM: 20th Century Fox’s Logan roared last night with a $9.5M take, the third highest for an R-rated preview after record holder Deadpool ($12.7M) and The Hangover Part II ($10.4M from midnight shows).
Heading into this weekend, Fox was tracking Logan to a $65M opening, however, rivals had it higher between $70M-$75M. There’s also a group of aggressive trackers out there who firmly believe Logan is destined to make $80M-plus. That’s not a crazy projection based on Wolverine’s money last night, coupled with the fact that the James Mangold-directed movie counts a 93% certified fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes — the best badge a superhero movie can have in this day and age, guaranteeing long legs. By the way, it’s also the best RT rating for a Wolverine movie, which has seen its critical grades improve from the first 2009 movie (38% rotten) to the 2013 sequel (69% fresh). Could Logan post the biggest opening in the Wolverine trilogy, beating the first installment’s $85M opening? It’s not unreasonable.
Logan‘s Thursday inches out the $9.4M preview cash earned by Disney/Marvel’s Doctor Strange back in November. That Marvel movie, rated PG-13, continued on to make a $32.6M Friday and an $85M weekend opening. Close to 29% of Doctor Strange‘s preview money counted toward its first day tally.
In addition, Logan knocks out the $8.2M made by X-Men: Apocalypse on its Thursday night. That comic-book movie played over Memorial Day weekend, earning a $26.3M Friday, and $65.7M three-day. Fandango reported this week that Logan pre-sales were outstripping all previous X-Men titles not counting Deadpool.
Last year X-Men spinoff Deadpool, also from Fox/Marvel drew $47.3M on its first day with Thursday night repping close to 27% of that figure. However, that pic’s $132.4M record R-rated opening had the testosterone of Valentine’s Day and Presidents Day behind it...